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Trans Mountain pipeline could be delayed a year, fingers point to red tape

Worst-case scenario has pipeline finishing in December 2024, rather than early next year
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An oil and gas industry group is laying the blame for a possible extended delay to the Trans Mountain pipeline project at the feet of Canada鈥檚 regulatory system.

The Explorers and Producers Association of Canada, which represents 139 non-oilsands oil and gas companies, said Tuesday its members are frustrated by news that the pipeline, which was expected to be in-service early next year may now not be ready until December 2024.

That revised time frame was put forward as a worst-case scenario in fresh filings from Crown corporation Trans Mountain Corp., which is trying to get the Canada Energy Regulator to approve a route deviation.

If its request is denied and the company has to stick to its previously agreed-upon route and construction method, the company said Monday, the resulting delay in project completion could add close to $86 million to the pipeline鈥檚 final price tag.

鈥淚t is a concern, there鈥檚 no question. First, the delay, and second, the cost,鈥 said Tristan Goodman, president and CEO of the Explorers and Producers Association, in an interview Tuesday.

鈥淏ut I think the fundamental question is, 鈥榃hy?鈥 Why is this happening? And the answer 鈥 which I think is relatively simple and I don鈥檛 think is being discussed yet 鈥 is this is an example of the federal government鈥檚 regulatory and policy failure.鈥

The Trans Mountain pipeline is Canada鈥檚 only pipeline system transporting oil from Alberta to the West Coast. Its expansion, which is currently underway, will boost the pipeline鈥檚 capacity to 890,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 300,000 bpd currently.

The pipeline 鈥 which was bought by the federal government for $4.5 billion in 2018 after previous owner Kinder Morgan Canada Inc. threatened to scrap the pipeline鈥檚 planned expansion project in the face of environmentalist opposition and regulatory hurdles 鈥 has already been plagued by construction-related challenges and delays.

Its projected price tag has spiralled first to $12.6 billion, then to $21.4 billion and most recently to $30.9 billion (the most recent capital cost estimate, as of March of this year).

Now, Trans Mountain Corp. says it has run into engineering difficulties related to the drilling of a tunnel in B.C. It wants to alter the route slightly for a 1.3-kilometre stretch of pipe in the Jacko Lake area near Kamloops, as well as the construction method for that section.

But the company faces opposition from the Stk鈥檈mlupsemc te Secwepemc Nation, whose traditional territory the pipeline crosses and who had agreed to the originally proposed route and construction method.

The Canada Energy Regulator will hear arguments from both Trans Mountain and the First Nation at a hearing in Calgary next week.

Goodman said if the project is delayed, the biggest concern for oil shippers will come in the form of rising tolls 鈥 the fees Trans Mountain wishes to charge oil shippers when the pipeline begins operations.

Oil companies are already pushing back against the higher tolls Trans Mountain says it will need to charge to help recoup ballooning capital costs. Goodman says any additional toll increases will put Canadian companies at an economic disadvantage to their global competitors.

But he said he doesn鈥檛 blame Trans Mountain for the latest challenges the company has encountered with the Stk鈥檈mlupsemc te Secwepemc Nation. Rather, he blames Canada鈥檚 regulatory system, which the energy sector has long complained puts too much pressure on companies alone to stave off every unforeseen roadblock or voice of opposition.

鈥淥f course Indigenous communities and others that could be impacted definitely have to have a role,鈥 Goodman said.

鈥淏ut instead of dealing with these issues from a leadership perspective at the federal level, it鈥檚 being downloaded onto individual project proponents who are basically just businesses. That鈥檚 not how this should work. That鈥檚 not how it works in other countries.鈥

Goodman said rather than scaring away investment capital by allowing private companies to get bogged down in a regulatory nightmare, the federal government needs to take responsibility for ensuring major infrastructure projects can be built.

鈥淚 think that鈥檚 the main issue that at some point, the country鈥檚 going to have to have a reckoning with,鈥 Goodman said.

鈥淥r it鈥檚 going to spill over into all other aspects of development, from coast to coast. It (Canada鈥檚 regulatory system) has just become untenable.鈥

While lengthy permitting timelines and regulatory uncertainty have been a thorn in the side of proponents of everything from major oil pipelines to liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities, the issue has been raised by the clean energy sector as well.

In June, a report by the Business Council of Alberta warned that Canada鈥檚 reputation as a place where major projects can鈥檛 get built will make it difficult for the country to build the green infrastructure required to achieve its climate goals.

At the same time, a group of 18 different business, Indigenous, labour, environmental, and policy groups published an open letter to the federal government advocating for an improved approach to major project regulatory and permitting processes.

For its part, the federal government has acknowledged there is a problem, and has pledged to unveil a plan aimed at speeding up the permitting process for major infrastructure projects before the end of the year.

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