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PAINFUL TRUTH: Arguments against optimism

We鈥檙e going to keep blowing up the economy every five years forever
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Members of Canada鈥檚 technology sector say they鈥檙e worried the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank will have a chilling effect on investments in their sector. A pedestrian carries an umbrella while walking past a Silicon Valley Bank Private branch in San Francisco, Tuesday, March 14, 2023. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

No one knows what will happen in the financial sector over the next month, it seems.

Heck, I鈥檓 writing this column on Monday morning. By the time this hits print on Thursday, anything could have happened! Maybe more banks will have failed! Maybe a major cryptocurrency exchange will have blown up! Maybe Elon Musk will only be the third or fourth richest person on earth!

I suppose I should go on some long rant here about how bankers should have seen this coming, how we鈥檝e had months of high inflation and rapid interest rate increases, and all those people at Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse who are paid to be very smart about managing market risk really screwed up, didn鈥檛 they?

But I just don鈥檛 have it in me.

In the course of my adult life, I鈥檝e been through so many of these financial implosions that I am no longer surprised.

No one knows what they鈥檙e doing.

Consider that since I graduated from high school, I鈥檝e lived through the Asian economic crisis, the dotcom bubble, the brief financial chaos after Sept. 11, 2001, the Great Recession, the rise (and fall and rise and fall and rise) of Bitcoin, the brief mass layoffs and turmoil caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the NFT boom and collapse, wild swings in energy prices after the invasion of Ukraine, and now, high inflation and steep interest rate increases.

What I鈥檝e learned from this is that the people running our financial systems are wild-eyed optimists with the long-term memory of a stunned goldfish.

READ ALSO: PAINFUL TRUTH: Do COVID鈥檚 origins matter?

If you designed a car that worked like our economy (the wheels abruptly falling off every two to five years), it wouldn鈥檛 be allowed on the road.

But we actively reward the bankers, hedge fund managers, and various other rich people who keep blowing things up. They鈥檒l get more bailouts and go on to other lucrative jobs, even the ones who just melted their own banks into slag.

Now, you might say that overall, the Canadian and world economies have grown over the last 25 years. Sure, there are recessions and dips, but GDP continues to rise!

Which I鈥檓 sure is great solace to the people who are ruined along the way 鈥 unemployed, bankrupt, evicted, homeless 鈥 because some clever finance dweeb got a little overenthusiastic with mortgage backed securities.

Are we going to 鈥渇ix,鈥 this latest problem?

Probably, in the sense that there will still be banks in a year. But a whole bunch of lower-level employees, particularly at technology companies, are going to have some tough times for a while. Their bosses will be okay, I鈥檓 sure.

It鈥檚 not that I don鈥檛 have any faith that we couldn鈥檛 build a better financial infrastructure, one that protected the poorest first, that allowed for growth with fewer sudden shocks and reversals.

I鈥檓 sure we could!

But none of the people in power are interested in doing that. It might mean slightly less staggering profits. Can鈥檛 have that, can we?


Have a story tip? Email: matthew.claxton@langleyadvancetimes.com
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Matthew Claxton

About the Author: Matthew Claxton

Raised in 91原创, as a journalist today I focus on local politics, crime and homelessness.
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